Erik Haula vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Pageau 58.8% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 74.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 78.3%
Neutral zone
Haula 74.0%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Haula
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Haula
Pageau
Last 10: Haula 3-7 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
3
Haula
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
4
Haula
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
59.1% (687)
-9.1%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
69.4% (36)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
60.1% (213)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Haula is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Haula shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Haula
Pageau
Home
48.6% (426)
57.8% (377)
Away
51.6% (411)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Haula
Pageau
P1
52.2%
54.1%
P2
51.5%
62.1%
P3
46.7%
61.8%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |