Frederick Gaudreau vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 52.3% vs Pageau 55.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 57.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 69.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 63.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Gaudreau
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Gaudreau
Pageau
Last 8: Gaudreau 3-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
5
Gaudreau
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (118)
58.3% (674)
-4.1%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
57.1% (77)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (42)
42.7% (82)
+7.3%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Gaudreau is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Gaudreau shoots right. Pageau is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Pageau
Home
50.0% (64)
57.4% (439)
Away
56.1% (98)
55.8% (394)
By Period
Gaudreau
Pageau
P1
61.7%
54.0%
P2
50.9%
55.0%
P3
50.0%
60.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
53.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |