Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jeff Skinner
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Skinner 44.7% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 78.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 95.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 72.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Pageau
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Pageau
Skinner
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
9
Pageau
Skinner
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
10
0
Pageau
Skinner
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
42.3% (1,317)
+13.4%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
52.0% (404)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
33.3% (15)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. Skinner is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Pageau
Skinner
Home
56.3% (6,214)
48.2% (949)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
39.9% (791)
By Period
Pageau
Skinner
P1
54.6%
41.6%
P2
56.3%
46.0%
P3
53.5%
46.4%
OT
54.4%
23.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 31, 2014 | OT | 02:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |