Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jeff Skinner
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Skinner 48.0% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 68.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 97.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 87.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Pageau
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
1
Pageau
Skinner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Skinner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
46.8% (222)
+12.0%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
48.7% (78)
+9.5%
On even strength, Pageau has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Skinner is 25.7% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Pageau
Skinner
Home
59.0% (595)
53.8% (169)
Away
55.7% (661)
38.9% (131)
By Period
Pageau
Skinner
P1
58.9%
48.1%
P2
57.9%
47.1%
P3
55.6%
46.9%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.2%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |