Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Joe Pavelski
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 52.0% vs Pavelski 54.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 58.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 63.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Pageau
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Pageau
Pavelski
Last 8: Pageau 1-7 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
4
Pageau
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
3
Pageau
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (882)
53.6% (657)
+0.5%
Power Play
45.0% (60)
60.2% (221)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (235)
51.7% (60)
-4.9%
On power play, Pavelski has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Pageau is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Pageau shoots right. Pavelski is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Pageau
Pavelski
Home
54.7% (592)
57.4% (470)
Away
49.6% (585)
52.6% (468)
By Period
Pageau
Pavelski
P1
51.0%
53.4%
P2
54.3%
55.6%
P3
51.8%
55.5%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2016 | OT | 02:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 18:25 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |