Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Joe Pavelski
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Pavelski 50.9% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 77.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 57.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 59.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Pageau
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Pageau
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Pageau
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Pageau
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
51.5% (594)
+5.6%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
51.7% (87)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
28.6% (14)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Pavelski is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Pageau
Pavelski
Home
57.0% (618)
53.1% (339)
Away
53.9% (607)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Pageau
Pavelski
P1
54.4%
53.8%
P2
61.0%
47.8%
P3
51.0%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |