Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Joe Veleno
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Veleno 49.2% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 68.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 82.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Pageau
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Pageau
Veleno
Last 5: Pageau 4-1 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Veleno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Veleno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
48.4% (531)
+8.7%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
56.3% (64)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
44.4% (27)
+3.6%
On even strength, Pageau has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Veleno is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Pageau
Veleno
Home
57.0% (618)
48.8% (289)
Away
53.9% (607)
49.2% (333)
By Period
Pageau
Veleno
P1
54.4%
46.1%
P2
61.0%
50.9%
P3
51.0%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 01:10 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |