Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Johan Larsson
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 51.1% vs Larsson 53.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 51.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 52.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 53.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Pageau
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Pageau
Larsson
Last 8: Pageau 1-7 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
2
Pageau
Larsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
3
Pageau
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
2
Pageau
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (896)
54.8% (509)
-3.2%
Power Play
49.2% (63)
36.4% (11)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (174)
54.6% (119)
-4.6%
On power play, Pageau has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Pageau is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Pageau shoots right. Larsson is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Pageau
Larsson
Home
51.2% (559)
57.5% (301)
Away
51.2% (574)
51.8% (338)
By Period
Pageau
Larsson
P1
50.4%
54.8%
P2
52.4%
49.1%
P3
51.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
60.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.2%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2018 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |