Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Johan Larsson

2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 55.0% vs Larsson 46.9% (+9.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pageau 85.0%
Defensive zone Pageau 73.9%
Neutral zone Pageau 86.8%
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Pageau Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 3 (8 meetings)
5
3
Pageau Larsson
Last 8: Pageau 5-3 Larsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau Larsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau Larsson
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
46.7% (345)
+9.1%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
61.1% (18)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
39.0% (59)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +12.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Pageau
Larsson
Home
57.1% (674)
52.1% (167)
Away
53.5% (678)
42.4% (255)
By Period
Pageau
Larsson
P1
56.9%
50.0%
P2
54.5%
46.7%
P3
54.7%
42.6%
OT
52.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
55.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%
57.5%
55.3%
Larsson
40.0%
46.5%
46.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 21, 2022 3 19:38 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 21, 2022 3 11:58 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 21, 2022 1 17:04 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Oct 23, 2021 3 07:46 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Oct 23, 2021 2 17:10 Offensive Johan Larsson
Oct 23, 2021 1 18:27 Offensive Johan Larsson
Oct 23, 2021 1 16:39 Defensive Johan Larsson
Oct 23, 2021 1 08:36 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau