Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jonathan Drouin
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Drouin 45.6% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 61.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 88.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Pageau
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Drouin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Drouin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
45.1% (355)
+13.7%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
40.9% (22)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
0.0% (3)
+48.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +48.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Drouin is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Pageau
Drouin
Home
59.0% (595)
37.5% (160)
Away
55.7% (661)
49.5% (220)
By Period
Pageau
Drouin
P1
58.9%
40.3%
P2
57.9%
43.3%
P3
55.6%
49.6%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |