Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Marat Khusnutdinov
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Khusnutdinov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Khusnutdinov 44.8% (+16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 87.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 77.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 84.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
Last 6: Pageau 4-2 Khusnutdinov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Khusnutdinov
0
1
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
45.7% (368)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
32.3% (65)
+24.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khusnutdinov shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Khusnutdinov is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
Home
59.3% (506)
44.4% (180)
Away
60.0% (482)
43.1% (253)
By Period
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
P1
56.8%
50.7%
P2
64.4%
44.4%
P3
56.9%
37.0%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Khusnutdinov
40.0%▬
41.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Marat Khusnutdinov |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | Marat Khusnutdinov |