Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Marco Rossi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Rossi 50.4% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 75.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 55.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 57.1%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Pageau
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Pageau
Rossi
Last 8: Pageau 3-5 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
3
Pageau
Rossi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Rossi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Rossi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
52.8% (400)
+6.3%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
36.1% (36)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
37.0% (27)
+23.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Pageau
Rossi
Home
57.8% (377)
50.0% (242)
Away
61.0% (559)
51.1% (221)
By Period
Pageau
Rossi
P1
54.1%
54.9%
P2
62.1%
48.7%
P3
61.8%
47.9%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 10:35 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |