Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Martin Necas
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Necas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Necas 46.0% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 64.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 92.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 84.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Pageau
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Pageau
Necas
Last 9: Pageau 6-3 Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
0
2
Pageau
Necas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Necas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Necas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
44.5% (339)
+14.3%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
47.4% (57)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
47.6% (21)
+1.0%
On even strength, Pageau has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Pageau shoots right. Necas is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Pageau
Necas
Home
59.0% (595)
44.8% (203)
Away
55.7% (661)
45.3% (214)
By Period
Pageau
Necas
P1
58.9%
46.8%
P2
57.9%
40.0%
P3
55.6%
50.0%
OT
44.4%
37.5%
Final 5 min
56.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:01 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |