Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Domi 50.0% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 50.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 90.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 84.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Pageau
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pageau
Domi
Last 6: Pageau 4-2 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Pageau
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
49.7% (394)
+7.4%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
51.7% (58)
+3.5%
On even strength, Pageau has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Domi is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Pageau
Domi
Home
57.0% (618)
53.2% (235)
Away
53.9% (607)
46.5% (217)
By Period
Pageau
Domi
P1
54.4%
54.4%
P2
61.0%
46.6%
P3
51.0%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Max Domi |