Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mika Zibanejad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 66.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 84.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 80.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Pageau
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pageau
Zibanejad
Last 7: Pageau 5-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
53.4% (770)
+5.7%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
46.2% (39)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
44.7% (141)
+15.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Pageau shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Pageau
Zibanejad
Home
57.8% (377)
49.0% (429)
Away
61.0% (559)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Pageau
Zibanejad
P1
54.1%
53.0%
P2
62.1%
51.1%
P3
61.8%
51.0%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |