Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mika Zibanejad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 30 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 60-59 in 119 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 51.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 78.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 60.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Pageau
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
60
-
59
(119 meetings)
60
59
Pageau
Zibanejad
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
21
30
Pageau
Zibanejad
51 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
17
21
Pageau
Zibanejad
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
22
8
Pageau
Zibanejad
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
50.9% (11,719)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
52.2% (1,849)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
41.5% (1,790)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Pageau shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Home / Away
Pageau
Zibanejad
Home
56.3% (6,214)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Pageau
Zibanejad
P1
54.6%
50.4%
P2
56.3%
49.7%
P3
53.5%
49.8%
OT
54.4%
48.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |