Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mikko Rantanen
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Rantanen 53.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 86.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 93.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 66.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Pageau
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Pageau
Rantanen
Last 7: Pageau 4-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
3
Pageau
Rantanen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Rantanen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
51.7% (346)
+5.4%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
58.5% (164)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
0.0% (1)
+48.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +48.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Rantanen is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Pageau
Rantanen
Home
57.0% (618)
55.8% (258)
Away
53.9% (607)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Pageau
Rantanen
P1
54.4%
50.0%
P2
61.0%
56.6%
P3
51.0%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |