Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Oliver Kapanen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Kapanen 47.5% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 68.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 94.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 85.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Pageau
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pageau
Kapanen
Last 7: Pageau 5-2 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Kapanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
2
Pageau
Kapanen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
47.2% (559)
+8.5%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
51.0% (51)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
39.5% (38)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Pageau shoots right. Kapanen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kapanen
Home
56.3% (6,214)
47.1% (340)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
47.1% (308)
By Period
Pageau
Kapanen
P1
54.6%
42.7%
P2
56.3%
50.2%
P3
53.5%
48.2%
OT
54.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |