Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Danault 54.8% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 54.9%
Defensive zone
Danault 58.9%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.6%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Pageau
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Pageau
Danault
Last 7: Pageau 3-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
Pageau
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
56.5% (711)
+2.6%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
46.0% (50)
+23.4%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
51.7% (116)
+8.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Danault is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Pageau
Danault
Home
57.8% (377)
57.0% (379)
Away
61.0% (559)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Pageau
Danault
P1
54.1%
55.8%
P2
62.1%
55.3%
P3
61.8%
54.8%
OT
75.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
63.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 01:37 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |