Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Phillip Danault
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Danault 51.7% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 56.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 83.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 66.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Pageau
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
52.6% (895)
+4.5%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
55.7% (97)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
45.5% (165)
+2.5%
On even strength, Pageau has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Danault is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Pageau
Danault
Home
57.0% (618)
54.0% (581)
Away
53.9% (607)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Pageau
Danault
P1
54.4%
53.7%
P2
61.0%
55.3%
P3
51.0%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |