Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Roope Hintz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Hintz 57.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 78.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 69.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 53.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Pageau
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pageau
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (502)
58.9% (514)
+0.3%
Power Play
69.6% (23)
57.6% (158)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (163)
66.7% (27)
-5.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Pageau is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Pageau shoots right. Hintz is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hintz
Home
59.5% (299)
59.8% (326)
Away
60.4% (389)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Pageau
Hintz
P1
55.3%
57.9%
P2
62.2%
59.8%
P3
61.1%
58.2%
OT
80.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
62.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |