Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Roope Hintz
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.4% vs 56.2%). Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Hintz 55.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 75.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 73.4%
Neutral zone
Hintz 50.6%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Pageau
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Pageau
Hintz
Last 9: Pageau 6-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
3
Pageau
Hintz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
56.3% (512)
+0.8%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
63.3% (30)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
45.8% (24)
+2.2%
On power play, Hintz has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Hintz is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hintz
Home
57.0% (618)
57.3% (262)
Away
53.9% (607)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Pageau
Hintz
P1
54.4%
54.8%
P2
61.0%
56.0%
P3
51.0%
57.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |