Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Johansen
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Johansen 58.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 69.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 76.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Pageau
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Pageau
Johansen
Last 8: Pageau 4-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Pageau
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
59.8% (625)
-1.0%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
58.2% (196)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
51.9% (27)
-3.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Pageau shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Pageau
Johansen
Home
59.0% (595)
60.3% (436)
Away
55.7% (661)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Pageau
Johansen
P1
58.9%
61.3%
P2
57.9%
60.4%
P3
55.6%
56.0%
OT
44.4%
56.3%
Final 5 min
56.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:06 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 18:52 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |