Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Strome
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Strome 45.2% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 63.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 89.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 87.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Pageau
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Pageau
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
44.2% (267)
+14.9%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
37.0% (27)
+32.4%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
50.0% (4)
+10.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Pageau shoots right. Strome is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Pageau
Strome
Home
57.8% (377)
42.0% (157)
Away
61.0% (559)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Pageau
Strome
P1
54.1%
40.0%
P2
62.1%
46.4%
P3
61.8%
44.0%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |