Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Strome
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Strome 44.4% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 62.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 82.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Pageau
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Pageau
Strome
Last 8: Pageau 5-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Pageau
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
43.0% (788)
+15.8%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
47.9% (96)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
50.0% (34)
-1.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Pageau shoots right. Strome is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Pageau
Strome
Home
59.0% (595)
42.6% (486)
Away
55.7% (661)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Pageau
Strome
P1
58.9%
41.0%
P2
57.9%
47.8%
P3
55.6%
42.1%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |