Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Gagner
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Gagner 46.0% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 69.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 79.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.8%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Pageau
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Pageau
Gagner
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
5
Pageau
Gagner
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
45.4% (4,699)
+10.3%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
51.5% (928)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
35.0% (226)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Pageau shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Pageau
Gagner
Home
56.3% (6,214)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Pageau
Gagner
P1
54.6%
44.6%
P2
56.3%
46.1%
P3
53.5%
47.3%
OT
54.4%
42.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |