Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Gagner
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Gagner 52.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 59.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 88.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 70.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Pageau
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pageau
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
76.5% (17)
-19.4%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
28.6% (7)
+26.6%
On power play, Pageau has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Gagner is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Pageau
Gagner
Home
57.0% (618)
75.0% (16)
Away
53.9% (607)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Pageau
Gagner
P1
54.4%
25.0%
P2
61.0%
64.3%
P3
51.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |