Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Shane Pinto
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Pinto 50.7% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 51.0%
Defensive zone
Pinto 56.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 55.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Pageau
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pageau
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Pageau
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
50.2% (520)
+8.9%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
68.0% (25)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
49.4% (89)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Pageau shoots right. Pinto is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Pageau
Pinto
Home
57.8% (377)
48.8% (301)
Away
61.0% (559)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Pageau
Pinto
P1
54.1%
51.2%
P2
62.1%
48.9%
P3
61.8%
53.3%
OT
75.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |