Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sidney Crosby
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Crosby 55.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 84.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 73.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 53.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Pageau
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Pageau
Crosby
Last 10: Pageau 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
5
Pageau
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
2
Pageau
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
53.7% (984)
+5.4%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
64.7% (241)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
64.3% (14)
-4.2%
On even strength, Pageau has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Pageau
Crosby
Home
57.8% (377)
56.9% (649)
Away
61.0% (559)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Pageau
Crosby
P1
54.1%
55.8%
P2
62.1%
53.2%
P3
61.8%
58.7%
OT
75.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
63.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |