Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tim Stützle
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Stützle 52.9% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 57.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 77.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Pageau
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Pageau
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
53.0% (485)
+6.1%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
55.2% (58)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
56.7% (30)
+3.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Stützle is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Pageau
Stützle
Home
57.8% (377)
52.5% (282)
Away
61.0% (559)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Pageau
Stützle
P1
54.1%
52.1%
P2
62.1%
56.2%
P3
61.8%
52.0%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |