Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.8% vs Carter 53.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Galchenyuk leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 79.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 97.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 94.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 87.9%
12.1%
87.9%
Galchenyuk
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Galchenyuk
Carter
Last 10: Galchenyuk 7-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
9
1
Galchenyuk
Carter
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Galchenyuk
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
6
3
Galchenyuk
Carter
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,379)
53.3% (8,728)
-5.9%
Power Play
43.4% (394)
57.3% (1,554)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
46.3% (1,087)
-13.0%
On power play, Carter has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Galchenyuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,024).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Carter
Home
47.2% (1,504)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
46.2% (1,287)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Carter
P1
45.3%
53.6%
P2
47.9%
52.8%
P3
46.6%
53.1%
OT
59.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |