Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Carter 58.5% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 93.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 79.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 84.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Lizotte
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Lizotte
Carter
Last 8: Lizotte 1-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Lizotte
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
4
Lizotte
Carter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Lizotte
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
59.7% (727)
-7.2%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
68.1% (72)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
53.2% (139)
-11.8%
On power play, Carter has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Carter
Home
51.4% (383)
58.7% (455)
Away
50.9% (424)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Lizotte
Carter
P1
48.8%
61.3%
P2
51.0%
57.1%
P3
53.5%
59.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:39 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:12 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |