Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.5% vs Carter 51.1% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 81.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 73.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 79.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 78.6%
21.4%
78.6%
Howden
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Howden
Carter
Last 10: Howden 8-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
2
Howden
Carter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
0
Howden
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (417)
52.2% (552)
-5.2%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
56.4% (94)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (83)
41.0% (100)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Howden is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Howden shoots left. Carter is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Howden
Carter
Home
44.8% (268)
51.2% (324)
Away
51.8% (253)
51.2% (422)
By Period
Howden
Carter
P1
51.6%
49.8%
P2
43.7%
52.8%
P3
50.0%
51.2%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Brett Howden |