Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Luostarinen wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 43.4% vs Carter 58.5% (-17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 93.0%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 74.2%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 84.7%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Luostarinen
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Luostarinen
Carter
Last 9: Luostarinen 2-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Luostarinen
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
2
1
Luostarinen
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
4
Luostarinen
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (365)
59.7% (727)
-18.3%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
68.1% (72)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (38)
53.2% (139)
-8.5%
On power play, Carter has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Luostarinen is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (164).
Luostarinen shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Carter
Home
41.5% (207)
58.7% (455)
Away
42.2% (211)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Luostarinen
Carter
P1
38.2%
61.3%
P2
44.9%
57.1%
P3
42.9%
59.8%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.9%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
41.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | OT | 01:15 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |