Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.0% vs Carter 51.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.6%
Defensive zone
Malkin 68.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 70.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Malkin
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Malkin
Carter
Last 5: Malkin 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Malkin
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Malkin
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (612)
52.0% (471)
-3.8%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
55.3% (132)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
43.9% (41)
+56.1%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Malkin is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Malkin shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Malkin
Carter
Home
53.4% (305)
53.6% (330)
Away
44.3% (316)
50.6% (314)
By Period
Malkin
Carter
P1
45.6%
50.0%
P2
46.6%
55.6%
P3
54.7%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
46.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |