Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Carter 53.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 66.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 66.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 65.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Drury
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Drury
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Drury
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (1,967)
53.3% (8,728)
+4.6%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
57.3% (1,554)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (290)
46.3% (1,087)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Drury is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (817).
Drury shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Drury
Carter
Home
58.3% (1,212)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
56.1% (1,163)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Drury
Carter
P1
56.0%
53.6%
P2
58.6%
52.8%
P3
56.9%
53.1%
OT
62.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
62.0%▲
55.5%
57.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |