Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.4%). Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.4% vs Colborne 51.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 61.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 56.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 64.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Carter
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carter
Colborne
Last 6: Carter 4-2 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Colborne
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Colborne
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Colborne
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (934)
52.1% (284)
-0.6%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
53.8% (39)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (95)
53.8% (13)
-1.2%
On power play, Carter has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Carter shoots right. Colborne is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Carter
Colborne
Home
55.1% (554)
60.7% (163)
Away
50.4% (639)
44.5% (173)
By Period
Carter
Colborne
P1
50.8%
59.3%
P2
52.1%
47.0%
P3
54.8%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |