Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Colborne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Colborne 48.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 78.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 94.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 91.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 90.2%
90.2%
9.8%
Carter
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Carter
Colborne
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Colborne
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
6
2
Carter
Colborne
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Colborne
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
47.7% (960)
+5.6%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
52.4% (170)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
54.3% (35)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Colborne is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Carter
Colborne
Home
54.7% (5,752)
56.1% (569)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
41.4% (596)
By Period
Carter
Colborne
P1
53.6%
50.3%
P2
52.8%
48.9%
P3
53.1%
46.7%
OT
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |