Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Ek 47.7% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 80.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 93.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 88.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Carter
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Carter
Ek
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
3
4
Carter
Ek
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
0
Carter
Ek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Ek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
48.0% (920)
+9.9%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
52.0% (302)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
40.3% (243)
+5.1%
On even strength, Carter has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Ek is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Carter
Ek
Home
58.2% (543)
49.1% (740)
Away
55.9% (594)
46.1% (725)
By Period
Carter
Ek
P1
57.5%
47.6%
P2
57.1%
48.9%
P3
55.8%
45.4%
OT
68.2%
60.6%
Final 5 min
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 6, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |