Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +18.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Farabee on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Farabee shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Farabee 37.8% (+18.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 58.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 92.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 87.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Carter
Farabee
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carter
Farabee
Last 6: Carter 4-2 Farabee
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Farabee
1
2
Carter
Farabee
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Farabee
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Farabee
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Farabee
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
32.8% (311)
+20.5%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
46.4% (56)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
32.0% (25)
+14.3%
On even strength, Carter has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Farabee shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Farabee is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Carter
Farabee
Home
54.7% (5,752)
33.7% (178)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
35.5% (214)
By Period
Carter
Farabee
P1
53.6%
39.9%
P2
52.8%
32.8%
P3
53.1%
28.7%
OT
56.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
35.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
34.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Joel Farabee |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Joel Farabee |