Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +28.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Farabee on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Farabee shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Farabee 37.4% (+28.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 60.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 93.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 80.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Carter
Farabee
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Carter
Farabee
Last 5: Carter 3-2 Farabee
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Farabee
1
2
Carter
Farabee
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Farabee
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Farabee
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Farabee
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
27.5% (120)
+30.4%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
46.7% (15)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
12.5% (8)
+32.9%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Farabee shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Farabee is 29.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Carter
Farabee
Home
58.2% (543)
28.1% (57)
Away
55.9% (594)
29.1% (86)
By Period
Carter
Farabee
P1
57.5%
34.0%
P2
57.1%
23.4%
P3
55.8%
28.6%
OT
68.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
28.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Joel Farabee |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Joel Farabee |