Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.8% vs Ward 49.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 80.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 56.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 67.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Carter
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Carter
Ward
Last 8: Carter 5-3 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
0
Carter
Ward
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Ward
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
0
2
Carter
Ward
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,137)
52.8% (339)
+0.6%
Power Play
48.7% (154)
48.5% (33)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
33.3% (84)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Carter is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Carter shoots right. Ward is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Carter
Ward
Home
54.8% (753)
53.4% (251)
Away
48.6% (662)
43.4% (205)
By Period
Carter
Ward
P1
52.8%
49.4%
P2
53.0%
46.9%
P3
49.9%
50.3%
Final 5 min
49.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2017 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 2 | 10:00 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Joel Ward |