Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Ward 48.4% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 77.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 60.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 63.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Carter
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Carter
Ward
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
6
4
Carter
Ward
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Ward
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
1
2
Carter
Ward
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
51.3% (1,186)
+2.0%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
53.4% (238)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
35.5% (366)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Ward is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Carter
Ward
Home
54.7% (5,752)
50.3% (870)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Carter
Ward
P1
53.6%
47.6%
P2
52.8%
47.5%
P3
53.1%
50.3%
OT
56.5%
30.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2017 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 2 | 10:00 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Joel Ward |