Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.4% vs Mitchell 50.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 53.6%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 71.0%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 62.9%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Carter
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Carter
Mitchell
Last 5: Carter 1-4 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Carter
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Carter
Mitchell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (934)
51.2% (666)
+0.3%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
45.5% (22)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (95)
48.9% (47)
+3.7%
On power play, Carter has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Carter shoots right. Mitchell is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Carter
Mitchell
Home
55.1% (554)
51.7% (360)
Away
50.4% (639)
50.1% (375)
By Period
Carter
Mitchell
P1
50.8%
50.2%
P2
52.1%
49.4%
P3
54.8%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 19:01 | Neutral | John Mitchell |