Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Mitchell 51.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 79.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 56.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 68.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Carter
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Carter
Mitchell
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
3
Carter
Mitchell
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
3
Carter
Mitchell
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Mitchell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
51.8% (2,965)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
54.1% (196)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
44.1% (401)
+2.2%
On power play, Carter has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Home / Away
Carter
Mitchell
Home
54.7% (5,752)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Carter
Mitchell
P1
53.6%
52.0%
P2
52.8%
49.9%
P3
53.1%
50.9%
OT
56.5%
69.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 3 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 19:01 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 1 | 18:27 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |