Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.7%). Look for Weal on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Weal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Weal 52.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Weal leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Weal 72.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 53.3%
Neutral zone
Weal 69.8%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Carter
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Carter
Weal
Last 10: Carter 3-7 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
0
2
Carter
Weal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weal
3
5
Carter
Weal
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
0
2
Carter
Weal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
51.8% (867)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
59.7% (129)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
37.5% (8)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Weal is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Carter
Weal
Home
54.7% (5,752)
53.2% (455)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
52.3% (549)
By Period
Carter
Weal
P1
53.6%
56.6%
P2
52.8%
50.7%
P3
53.1%
51.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |