Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 19 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Brodziak 49.7% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 41-32 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 89.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 53.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 73.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Carter
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
32
(73 meetings)
41
32
Carter
Brodziak
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
13
6
Carter
Brodziak
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
6
11
Carter
Brodziak
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
22
15
Carter
Brodziak
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
50.5% (6,432)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
52.8% (326)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
45.5% (1,344)
+0.8%
On power play, Carter has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Brodziak is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,322).
Home / Away
Carter
Brodziak
Home
54.7% (5,752)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Carter
Brodziak
P1
53.6%
49.2%
P2
52.8%
50.7%
P3
53.1%
49.5%
OT
56.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 03:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 09:33 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |