Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs MacLean 47.9% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 92.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 90.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 83.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Carter
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Carter
MacLean
Last 7: Carter 6-1 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
MacLean
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
MacLean
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
MacLean
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
47.2% (849)
+6.1%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
62.5% (8)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
56.7% (30)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. MacLean is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Carter
MacLean
Home
54.7% (5,752)
46.9% (426)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
48.4% (461)
By Period
Carter
MacLean
P1
53.6%
46.6%
P2
52.8%
49.7%
P3
53.1%
46.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |