Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 53.8%). Look for Reasoner on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Reasoner 53.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 63.7%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 72.9%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 57.7%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Carter
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Carter
Reasoner
Last 8: Carter 2-6 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
2
Carter
Reasoner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
3
Carter
Reasoner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
0
1
Carter
Reasoner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
55.7% (1,642)
-2.4%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
56.9% (72)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
45.5% (413)
+0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Reasoner is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Carter
Reasoner
Home
54.7% (5,752)
55.4% (1,032)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
52.4% (1,123)
By Period
Carter
Reasoner
P1
53.6%
53.1%
P2
52.8%
53.1%
P3
53.1%
55.3%
OT
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |