Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.9% vs Stajan 48.2% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 87.5%
Defensive zone
Stajan 64.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 71.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Carter
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carter
Stajan
Last 6: Carter 4-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Stajan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (471)
49.2% (886)
+2.8%
Power Play
55.3% (132)
37.1% (35)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (41)
44.6% (175)
-0.7%
On power play, Carter has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Carter shoots right. Stajan is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Carter
Stajan
Home
53.6% (330)
51.2% (572)
Away
50.6% (314)
44.7% (524)
By Period
Carter
Stajan
P1
50.0%
48.4%
P2
55.6%
45.2%
P3
50.3%
50.8%
OT
59.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.2%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2014 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |